Weekly Economic Updates

  • Capital Allocation and Empire Building

    In our view, allocating capital is one of management’s most important responsibilities. There are several ways management can allocate the capital a company generates, including mergers and acquisitions (M&A), capital expenditures (money allocated by a business or organization for the acquisition or maintenance of fixed assets, such as land, buildings, and equipment) and research and […]

  • The End of Quantitative Easing

    On Wednesday, the Fed ended the third round of Quantitative Easing (QE3). At its inception in September 2012, many were critical of the policy, fearing it would lead to higher inflation and a weaker dollar. As can be seen from the chart that appears directly below, the dollar actually strengthened while QE3 was in effect. […]

  • Surveying the Labor Market

    For the week ended October 18, initial claims for unemployment benefits increased by 17,000 to a seasonally adjusted 283,000. The four-week average for initial claims, which smooths out week-to-week volatility, fell 3,000 to 281,000, its lowest level since May 2000. The sustained decline in the number of initial claims (depicted below) suggests that labor-market dynamics […]

  • The Oil Price Slide

    A review of the S&P 500 Index’s returns by sector over the last one, three, six, and 12 months, as well as year-to-date, shows that energy has easily been the worst performer over all periods. In fact, while the energy sector’s twelve-month decline is only about 3.3%, it is notably the only sector to fall […]

  • Mid-Week Market Update

    We noted in a recent Weekly Economic Update that we expected market volatility to increase. It has certainly done so. Some of the primary factors we believe are behind the increased volatility are growing uncertainty about US monetary policy, somewhat dimmer economic prospects for Europe and China, and the possible spread of the Ebola virus […]